adambr2 wrote:-- Collins returning. Of course, this is kind of out of our hands. We'll know more in March, but whether or not Nick Collins returns will be our biggest offseason "acquisition" or lack thereof. Whether or not Collins returns in itself will decide whether we have one of the best safety duos in the league or are looking for safety help in the draft.
If Collins cant come back, it's time to move Woodson. He can't hang with guys like Cruz in the slot anymore. He is reduced to gambling all the time and while it leads to healthy amount of picks, it also leads to a unhealthy amount of 3rd down conversions and yards.
-- Franchise/trade Flynn. If we can get a 1st rounder for him and have two 1st rounders to upgrade our defense, that's beautiful. Even as the expense of losing Finley, which I would now argue is not going to be a huge loss to the team. We won a Super Bowl without him, this offense will go on without him. If you're talking about a $35-$50M investment, I'm now saying that money is better invested in the rest of the team.
The tag will be the big question this offseason... You have 3 options in Wells, Mouth and Flynn.. IF, and it's a big IF, you can negotiate a tag and trade with Flynn for at least a 2nd, thats the route. I dont want to get into all the scenarios in this thread because there is one for that, but I'm guessing now that it's about a 20% chance. If it's not Flynn, then it should be Wells. He was the best and most consistent performer on the OL all year. I could hear a case for Bulaga, but thats not the point. We face DET twice a year, interior linemen will be key to winning the division the next couple years.
You know how I feel about Finley... If, and i think the chances are high, he gets "Jones'd" in the FA market, I would bring him back on a cheap 3 year deal, but no fucking way I pay him top 5 or even top 10 money.
-- Draft defense. There's not much more we can do offensively. Grant will probably be gone, you can take a look at a RB, but I'm okay with going forward with Starks/Green/Saine. Go ahead and draft an O-line project in the mid-rounds or later if you'd like, but there isn't much more we can do there after taking Sherrod/Bulaga the last couple years -- we will have to see how Sherrod rebounds. Defensive needs are plentiful. Pass rush is absolutely essential -- OLB and D-line primarily. A corner is not a bad play either, but all the coverage in the secondary does no good if the opposing QB can just sit back in the pocket all day and wait for someone to break free.
I think Clifton retires and Grant is gone in FA... We already have the replacements on the roster in Newhouse / Sherrod and Green / Saine. The higher rounds must be defense. Last year we didnt make any move to upgrade LOLB or DE... There wasn't an obvious choice available so I am not placing blame, just saying it happened. With the cap on rookie contracts, it's going to be tougher for TT to do his trades to move down and acquire quantity, I think thats a good thing this year.. We need starters and we need them now.
I don't know whats available in terms of FA's, but we know not to hold our breath.