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by The Stache on Jan 6th, 2012, 11:40 pm
So just to recap what Callis has been saying today.
-He has Jackson at 28 and Rizzo at 42 on his personal top 50 -He has Baez in between Rizzo and Jackson -He thinks Cates will make the back of the Cubs' top 30, in the 21-30 range near Ben Wells
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by SymposiumX on Jan 6th, 2012, 11:44 pm
What happens with Baez, since he is the top prospect but also plays SS? Do the Cubs slide Castro over to 2B, move him to 3B, move Baez, trade him, what?
How would an OF with Gose (if we could get him) and BJax work out in your minds?
I'm trying to play catch-up with the farm.
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by The Stache on Jan 6th, 2012, 11:50 pm
IIRC, most of the prospect guru's were saying Baez won't be able to stick at SS. He'll probably end up at 3B.
Gose and BJax are both good defensive OF'ers, so I think it would work out just fine. Gose in CF and BJax in RF would be ideal.
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by The Stache on Jan 7th, 2012, 12:40 am
Sickels just re-released his Cubs prospect list 1) Brett Jackson, OF, Grade B+: I love his broad range of skills...speed, power, patience, defense. Only problem is a high strikeout rate which could foretell adjustment issues and/or preclude a high batting average. A more complete player than newly-acquired Rizzo, so ranks ahead for me. 2) Anthony Rizzo, 1B, Grade B+: Acquired today from Padres for Andrew Cashner. Nobody should panic about 128 at-bats. Although he's not going to hit .300 in the majors, Rizzo should provide plenty of power and walks and I think he'll make the needed adjustments. Maximum outcome: Ryan Howard. Worst-case: Chris Davis. 3) Javier Baez, SS-3B, Grade B: 2011 first-round pick. Outstanding bat speed, should hit for average and power. Questions revolve around future position as well as volatile personality. Higher ceiling than Jackson or Rizzo but we need to clear these issues up first. 4) Matt "Scrabble" Szczur, OF, Grade B-: Borderline B. Grade under review. Outstanding tools but still learning how to play baseball. Uses speed very well, skilled defensively, should develop more power but plate discipline slipped in High-A. 5) Trey McNutt, RHP, Grade B-: Hampered by nagging injuries in Double-A and gets a partial mulligan, although stock is legitimately down a bit. I am concerned by low strikeout rate. 6) Dillon Maples, RHP, Grade B-: 14th round pick with second-round talent, hasn't pitched yet. Scouting reports point to number two starter potential, or perhaps a relief ace if he doesn't develop a changeup, or if his funky delivery results in durability issues. Grade speculative given lack of pro data. 7) Dan Vogelbach, 1B, Grade B-: 2011 second-round pick. I really, really believe in this bat. Enormous power combined with legitimate hitting skills and strong plate discipline. Main problem is jumbo size; at times he has carried more pounds than I do, and he's not a sedentary middle-aged writer. If he can stay in decent condition he could move quite quickly and provides a backup plan if Rizzo doesn't work out. 8) Junior Lake, SS, Grade C+: Borderline B-. Excellent athlete, with power and speed, great throwing arm. Poor plate discipline, erratic track record, and probable position switch hurt stock, but has tremendous upside. Much better physical ceiling than Vogelbach, of course, but I'm less confident in his ability to hit. 9) Welington Castillo, C, Grade C+: Considerable power with a great throwing arm, still somewhat raw with the glove. Spotty strike zone judgment could be an issue, but could supplant Geovany Soto eventually. 10) Dae-Eun Rhee, RHP, Grade C+: Tommy John survivor saw velocity boost, continued to throw strikes, and was extremely effective in High-A down the stretch, posted 32/5 K/BB in last 25 innings with 2.16 ERA. If he maintains that momentum in 2012, will break through and shoot up prospect lists. 11) Josh Vitters, 3B-1B, Grade C+: Placement is very difficult. You can make a case as high as eight or as low as 15. Strengths remain age (22) and contact ability, but still short-circuits himself with impatience. At some point he's got to produce more than this, and with the new regime in place he needs to take that step forward now. 12) Jeimer Candelario, 3B, Grade C+: Outstanding performance in the Dominican Summer League. Scouting reports are good, too. Unfortunately DSL performance is not particularly predictive, but he has good plate discipline and scouts are impressed with him. May face position switch. Could rank much higher once we see him in North America. 13) Marco Hernandez, SS, Grade C+: Solid performance in Arizona Rookie League, gap power, should hit for average, and can remain at shortstop. Could also rank much higher a year from now. 14) Chris Carpenter, RHP, Grade C+: Power arm pitched poorly in Triple-A bullpen due to command issues but looked much better in Arizona Fall League. Dominant when his command is working. 15) Rafael Dolis, RHP, Grade C+: Could rank as high as 10th if you aren't concerned by his poor strikeout rate in Double-A. Power sinker could get him significant major league innings in 2012 but will need better command to close. I don't like him as much as some other people do, but upper-90s sinkers are rare. 16) Zach Cates, RHP, Grade C+: Acquired in the Cashner/Rizzo trade. Often overlooked due to 4.78 ERA in Low-A, but he has a live arm and peripheral stats were much better. Breakthrough possible. 17) Ben Wells, RHP, Grade C+: Arkansas high school talent from 2010 draft is another sinkerball expert, impressed scouts in Northwest League. Number three starter upside. 18) Dave Sappelt, OF, Grade C+: Acquired in Sean Marshall deal. Perfect fourth outfielder with a broad balance of average tools/skills. 19) Ronald Torreyes, 2B, Grade C+: Acquired in Sean Marshall deal from Reds. Excellent performance record, hits for average, very reliable with the glove, but undersized at 5-7, 150. Can he do what Jose Altuve did with the Astros? 20) Reggie Golden, OF, Grade C+: Struggled with contact in Northwest League. A raw hitter, but power potential is quite impressive. High risk/high reward type. 21) Gioskar Amaya, INF, Grade C+: Hit .377 in rookie ball, lacks distance power at this time and needs better plate discipline. Long-term position unsettled as well, but a nice ceiling. 22) Tony Zych, RHP, Grade C+: Lively arm drafted in fourth round in '11, projects as a closer if he sharpens his command. 23) Shawon Dunston, Jr, OF, Grade C+: Excellent speed, but lacks strength/power and raw for a bloodline player. Good upside as a leadoff type but will take time to get there. 24) Aaron Kurcz, RHP, Grade C+: Good year as a swingman in Florida State League, excellent K/IP ratio with few hits given up, above-average stuff. OTHERS: Jeffry Antigua, LHP; Dallas Beeler, RHP; Jeff Beliveau, LHP; Jeff Bianchi, INF; Lendy Castillo, RHP; Pin-Chieh Chen, OF; Zeke DeVoss, 2B; Jae-Hoon Ha, OF (a lot of people really like him but he looks like a tweener to me); Jay Jackson, RHP; Eric Jokisch, LHP; Austin Kirk, LHP (season collapsed after he threw the no-hitter);; Luis Liria, RHP; Kevin Rhoderick, RHP; Jose Rosario, RHP; Neftali Rosario, C; Hayden Simpson, RHP; Nick Struck, RHP; Yao-Ling Wang, RHP; Logan Watkins, 2B; Robert Whitenack, RHP. http://www.minorleagueball.com/2012/1/6 ... s-for-2012
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The Stache
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by SymposiumX on Jan 7th, 2012, 1:00 am
The Stache wrote:IIRC, most of the prospect guru's were saying Baez won't be able to stick at SS. He'll probably end up at 3B.
Gose and BJax are both good defensive OF'ers, so I think it would work out just fine. Gose in CF and BJax in RF would be ideal.
Thanks Stache....along the lines my mind was going, but I wanted to touch base with fans more knowledgeable than myself regarding prospect/farm/minor leaguers.
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by Old Style on Jan 7th, 2012, 11:02 am
SymposiumX wrote:The Stache wrote:IIRC, most of the prospect guru's were saying Baez won't be able to stick at SS. He'll probably end up at 3B.
Gose and BJax are both good defensive OF'ers, so I think it would work out just fine. Gose in CF and BJax in RF would be ideal.
Thanks Stache....along the lines my mind was going, but I wanted to touch base with fans more knowledgeable than myself regarding prospect/farm/minor leaguers.
This is one of the best places to learn more. It's definitely the one thread on this site that I read through the most carefully.
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by sedgy145 on Jan 7th, 2012, 11:06 am
Thank you Stache for this thread!! I don't know if you or anyone notice ever, but the prospect thread (and just this topic) is my most followed and where I provide the most posts. It's good to have it back with more to talk about before the season.
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by SymposiumX on Jan 8th, 2012, 8:41 am
Great thread...helps me to keep up, especially when this is paramount to future Cubs success. Keep this thread going.
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by Fan174 on Jan 9th, 2012, 5:20 pm
This list is just going to grow and grow with Theo at the helm.
I'm just going to sit back and enjoy the hell out of the next 2-3 years beating the absolute shit out of the Cubs...because Theo stripping down the Cubs and rebuilding starting by building a base in the farm system and THEN having 160+ million to play with? It's a fucking joke.
When you figure that A-Theo's stripping this team down now so that you're going to likely be picking in the top 5-10 the next couple years(though I think a rotation of Garza/Dempster/Volstad/Wells-is a lot better than people are going to think, and you still have some sticks, so actually, I'd be worried as a Cubs fan that we're going to be too good next year. That shitty land the Bucks are currently stuck in, not good enough to be a contender, not bad enough to pick high. There are only two good picks, 1st and 30th in MLB.).
He's going to be saving money, or at least putting the team in a position to shed all their cumbersome contracts that they previously had under Hendry.
So I imagine this list in 3-4 years is going to place the cubs near the top of MLB's farm systems, they'll have a budding superstar(he'll BE a superstar by then), IMO probably a guy like Votto....and they'll be a very dangerous team.
If you put the fucking Red Sox in the Central, they'd run away with the goddamn thing every year. Last year they'd have won it by 6 games. And I think he's going to be even more deliberate in building the Cubs and even more focussed on building it the right way.
To me right now it looks like you have the start of a very impressive core. I'm not a fan of Jackson(just a personal thing) but am a huge fan of Rizzo(think he's going to be an All Star 1B...which is saying a lot at that position. Casto is obviously a stud, McNutt, Jackson's a GOOD prospect IMO, but I don't see him being a star player. Maybe a Mike Cameron type...which is certainly very-very valuable.
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by SymposiumX on Jan 9th, 2012, 7:18 pm
Thanks Fan. The Cubs will look like Dogshit for a few years, but if that is what it takes to build up the team in the right way, then so be it. The Cubs will be a tough team for many years in the not-too-distant future.
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by The Stache on Jan 10th, 2012, 1:26 am
When I listed my personal overall Top 50 in the 2012 Prospect Handbook, I had Brett Jackson at No. 28, Javier Baez at No. 31 and Rizzo at No. 42, so that would put Rizzo third on an updated Cubs list. I like Rizzo's power potential and think he's the third-best first-base prospect in baseball (behind the Astros' Jonathan Singleton and the Padres' Yonder Alonso), but Jackson and Baez are up-the-middle players and Baez has the bat to be an impact player if he moves down the line. None of Chicago's other acquisitions would crack the Top 10. There's depth in the farm system, so if I were updating the Cubs Top 30 I wrote for the Handbook, I'd put Torreyes, Cates and Sappelt (in that order) in the back half of that list. Torreyes is a career .364 hitter in the lower minors, but he's also 5-foot-7 and lacks a second standout tool, so he's really going to have to max out what he has to make it as a big league regular. Cates has a strong arm but is relatively new to pitching and has a lot of work to do, while Sappelt looks like a fourth outfielder who's overmatched in center field. In our preliminary system rankings in the Handbook, we put Chicago at No. 14. When we release our final rankings this spring, the Cubs' moves will push them up a spot or two. As for Volstad, I thought he was a nice pickup in the Carlos Zambrano trade. Chicago might have released Zambrano if it couldn't have traded him. Though the Cubs had to eat $15 million of Zambrano's $18 million salary for 2012, they got a young, durable starter. Volstad may not be more than a No. 4 starter because he doesn't miss enough bats, but he'll help Chicago more than Zambrano would have. http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/pr ... 12794.html
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by sedgy145 on Jan 10th, 2012, 10:10 am
Albeit only Callis' rankings, it's nice to see the Cubs have three prospects as highly regarded as BJax, Baez, and Rizzo.
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by tripxcore on Jan 10th, 2012, 4:43 pm
Comment From Marcus Mike, on a previous chat, you suggested that the Cubs system was bad, saying that it was below a depleted Reds system. What's your take on BA ranking the Cubs system 14th pre-trades (and saying that they will move the Cubs up)? Understandably, the Cubs don't really have a team in your coverage league, but just found the BA ranking interesting in comparison with your comments).
Mike Newman: They do actually... I saw Tennessee in the Southern League playoffs and they featured Vitters, Lake and McNutt. In all honesty, I'm just wondering where the talent came from? The prospects I saw were good, but not great. Brett Jackson? Javier Baez? it's an okay system, but it lacks upside for me.
Comment From chicago Why do you think Rizzo struggled as much as he did when he came up to the majors? Or is it simply a small sample size for a 21 year old in a bad hitters park?
Mike Newman: I think you hit on the reasons. Do you want to host the chat? I admittedly was sucked in a bit with the AAA numbers as I saw him in 2009 and saw a good, but not great prospect. He's going to be a good big leaguer, but may not be the star his 2011 AAA numbers indicated. Just keep in mind a 22-year old who surfaces for good usually becomes a very, very good player. He's still WAY ahead of the curve.
Comment From Marcus Robinson Lopez - what was your take on him in SAL? I thought a great lottery ticket get in a trade for the Cubs, but thought he was grossly over-hyped post-trade last year.
Mike Newman: I loved him and was one of the people leading the charge. I saw him twice and he was sitting 94-96 for full innings. Unfortunately, things haven't worked out and right now it looks like I missed on him. Oh well... he still has time to turn it around.
Comment From Marcus sorry, accidentally hit enter. The Cubs have a lot of raw upside in the lower levels, arms and bats, just starting to hit the A ball ranks. Didn't realize you covered Southern League as well. Did you get a chance to see Jae-Hoon Ha this year, and if so, do you think he is the plus CF some reports are suggesting him to be?
Mike Newman: I did... Ha was so-so. He made great catches in CF to the untrained eye, but they were more a product of poor jumps than great OF play.
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by tripxcore on Jan 10th, 2012, 5:44 pm
JimBowdenESPNxm JIM BOWDEN Hoyer just told us @mlbnetworkradio told us the key to the Marshall deal was the control of Wood and the up-side on Torreyes who batted .364
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by SymposiumX on Jan 11th, 2012, 2:02 am
tripxcore wrote:JimBowdenESPNxm JIM BOWDEN Hoyer just told us @mlbnetworkradio told us the key to the Marshall deal was the control of Wood and the up-side on Torreyes who batted .364
Makes perfect sense to me, that is why it's was such a good trade. That for basically a 1-season rental of Marshall in a year that we don't really need him. I still say that Marshall will be back in Cubbie Blue in the future.
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by richdanna on Jan 11th, 2012, 2:01 pm
SymposiumX wrote:tripxcore wrote:JimBowdenESPNxm JIM BOWDEN Hoyer just told us @mlbnetworkradio told us the key to the Marshall deal was the control of Wood and the up-side on Torreyes who batted .364
Makes perfect sense to me, that is why it's was such a good trade. That for basically a 1-season rental of Marshall in a year that we don't really need him. I still say that Marshall will be back in Cubbie Blue in the future.
I don't see it. If Marshall puts together another good season for the Reds, I can't honestly see this regime shelling out 3/$18M for a middle reliever, and that's where Marshall's gonna be. At that point, you have to wonder if Jocketty extends him for 3 years at a more reasonable rate. It's a feel-good story. Epstein tells Marshall to play in Cincy for a year, and we'll bring you back. He also said that he'd like to have Zambrano and Wood back if it works for the team. It's what he HAS to say. The thing I love about the new feel of this team is that there is no sappy allegiances to players any longer. The Mark DeRosa love fests won't continue here. The Sandberg situation was handled perfectly. Theo, if nothing else, has proven to be very decisive, yet very straight forward with his personnel. I think Sean Marshall is a great pitcher in the wrong time for the Cubs, and will go on to have an illustrious career with other teams, and I wish him well. Beyond the fact that they're brilliant baseball minds, the fact that Epstein, Hoyer and McLeod have no rooted ties to players makes the ability to go forward and make educated baseball decisions, rather than popular baseball decisions so much easier.
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by BassmanUW on Jan 11th, 2012, 6:29 pm
richdanna wrote:SymposiumX wrote:tripxcore wrote:JimBowdenESPNxm JIM BOWDEN Hoyer just told us @mlbnetworkradio told us the key to the Marshall deal was the control of Wood and the up-side on Torreyes who batted .364
Makes perfect sense to me, that is why it's was such a good trade. That for basically a 1-season rental of Marshall in a year that we don't really need him. I still say that Marshall will be back in Cubbie Blue in the future.
I don't see it. If Marshall puts together another good season for the Reds, I can't honestly see this regime shelling out 3/$18M for a middle reliever, and that's where Marshall's gonna be. At that point, you have to wonder if Jocketty extends him for 3 years at a more reasonable rate. It's a feel-good story. Epstein tells Marshall to play in Cincy for a year, and we'll bring you back. He also said that he'd like to have Zambrano and Wood back if it works for the team. It's what he HAS to say. The thing I love about the new feel of this team is that there is no sappy allegiances to players any longer. The Mark DeRosa love fests won't continue here. The Sandberg situation was handled perfectly. Theo, if nothing else, has proven to be very decisive, yet very straight forward with his personnel. I think Sean Marshall is a great pitcher in the wrong time for the Cubs, and will go on to have an illustrious career with other teams, and I wish him well. Beyond the fact that they're brilliant baseball minds, the fact that Epstein, Hoyer and McLeod have no rooted ties to players makes the ability to go forward and make educated baseball decisions, rather than popular baseball decisions so much easier.
I'm with you on this one Rich, with the sole caveat being if more teams figure out they shouldn't pay relievers such big money. I think the big thing you're seeing now that you're unlikely to see again is bad teams paying out big money for a closer, and I wouldn't be surprised if over the next 5 years you see a very large decline in reliever pay. I also think it's likely that at least one of Russell, Gaub and Maine establish themselves as a strong left handed reliever who can get right handed hitters out as well.
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by tryptamine on Jan 12th, 2012, 6:25 am
I think you missed the best lefty of the bunch. At least the one I feel will be best.
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by SymposiumX on Jan 12th, 2012, 6:34 am
richdanna wrote:SymposiumX wrote:tripxcore wrote:JimBowdenESPNxm JIM BOWDEN Hoyer just told us @mlbnetworkradio told us the key to the Marshall deal was the control of Wood and the up-side on Torreyes who batted .364
Makes perfect sense to me, that is why it's was such a good trade. That for basically a 1-season rental of Marshall in a year that we don't really need him. I still say that Marshall will be back in Cubbie Blue in the future.
I don't see it. If Marshall puts together another good season for the Reds, I can't honestly see this regime shelling out 3/$18M for a middle reliever, and that's where Marshall's gonna be. At that point, you have to wonder if Jocketty extends him for 3 years at a more reasonable rate. It's a feel-good story. Epstein tells Marshall to play in Cincy for a year, and we'll bring you back. He also said that he'd like to have Zambrano and Wood back if it works for the team. It's what he HAS to say. The thing I love about the new feel of this team is that there is no sappy allegiances to players any longer. The Mark DeRosa love fests won't continue here. The Sandberg situation was handled perfectly. Theo, if nothing else, has proven to be very decisive, yet very straight forward with his personnel. I think Sean Marshall is a great pitcher in the wrong time for the Cubs, and will go on to have an illustrious career with other teams, and I wish him well. Beyond the fact that they're brilliant baseball minds, the fact that Epstein, Hoyer and McLeod have no rooted ties to players makes the ability to go forward and make educated baseball decisions, rather than popular baseball decisions so much easier.
possibly. I do know that a lot of teams overpay, especially for Rp. I'd like to think that Marshall would be back and at a decent cost, but that could be my homerism speaking. I can buy into that Theo and Co have no rooted ties to CUBS players, but I don't buy into that they don't have any rooted interested in certain players. So far, it seems like they have focus at least on one player in common (Rizzo). Of course, this could be a testament to how good they truly believe he will become.
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by SymposiumX on Jan 12th, 2012, 6:37 am
tryptamine wrote:I think you missed the best lefty of the bunch. At least the one I feel will be best.
Smyly? 
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